Favorites World Cup 2022 - Who will win the World Cup?

Who are the favorites for the 2022 World Cup? Who has the best chance of winning the World Cup in Qatar?

All football fans in the world are curious who can call themselves world champions this year. It is also questionable which teams will become group winners and move on to the knockout phase.

Based on statistics and historical data, it is possible to estimate how far a team will progress in the tournament. Who will finish in the group stage and which team will reach the final?

Favorites for the 2022 World Cup can be determined in a number of different ways:

  • FIFA ranking
  • Bookmakers
  • Opta analysis

World Cup favorites based on FIFA ranking

The FIFA ranking gives a good idea of which teams are the favorites of the World Cup.

This ranking is based on points for matches won over a period of time, with a weighting factor applied to stronger teams.

Below is the ranking as of October 6, 2022.

# Country Ranking
1 Brazil Brazil 1
2 England England 5
3 France France 4
4 Spain Spain 7
5 Argentina Argentina 3
6 Germany Germany 11
7 Belgium Belgium 2
8 Portugal Portugal 9
9 Netherlands Netherlands 8
10 Denmark Denmark 10
11 Croatia Croatia 12
12 Uruguay Uruguay 14
13 Switzerland Switzerland 15
14 Senegal Senegal 18
15 United States United States 16
16 Poland Poland 26
17 Serbia Serbia 21
18 Mexico Mexico 13
19 Ecuador Ecuador 44
20 Canada Canada 41
21 Cameroon Cameroon 43
22 Japan Japan 24
23 Morocco Morocco 22
24 South Korea South Korea 28
25 Saudi-Arabië Saudi-Arabië 51
26 Ghana Ghana 61
27 Qatar Qatar 50
28 Wales Wales 19
29 Tunisia Tunisia 30
30 Iran Iran 20
31 Australia Australia 38
32 Costa Rica Costa Rica 31

According to the FIFA ranking, Brazil has the best chance of winning the World Cup in Qatar, followed by Belgium. In third place is Messi's Argentina. Reigning world champions France is fourth and football country England completes the top five.

England can be found in place 5.

World Cup favorites according to the bookmakers

Bookmakers determine the World Cup favorites based on many different factors, as well as the most recent news stories.

Bookmakers use their rankings to allow gamblers to bet on the eventual winner of the World Cup.

It is their revenue model, so this ranking gives a good picture of the World Cup favourites.

# Country Odds
1 Brazil Brazil 5.50
2 England England 6.50
3 France France 6.50
4 Spain Spain 9.00
5 Argentina Argentina 10.00
6 Germany Germany 12.00
7 Belgium Belgium 13.00
8 Portugal Portugal 13.00
9 Netherlands Netherlands 13.00
10 Denmark Denmark 29.00
11 Croatia Croatia 51.00
12 Uruguay Uruguay 51.00
13 Switzerland Switzerland 81.00
14 Senegal Senegal 81.00
15 United States United States 101.00
16 Poland Poland 126.00
17 Serbia Serbia 151.00
18 Mexico Mexico 151.00
19 Ecuador Ecuador 151.00
20 Canada Canada 151.00
21 Cameroon Cameroon 201.00
22 Japan Japan 251.00
23 Morocco Morocco 251.00
24 South Korea South Korea 251.00
25 Saudi-Arabië Saudi-Arabië 251.00
26 Ghana Ghana 251.00
27 Qatar Qatar 351.00
28 Wales Wales 351.00
29 Tunisia Tunisia 351.00
30 Iran Iran 501.00
31 Australia Australia 501.00
32 Costa Rica Costa Rica 1501

According to the bookmakers, Brazil is the biggest favorite to win the championship. England and France follow a short distance away. Spain and Argentina are in the top five, but at some distance from the top three.

England is in second place according to the betting offices.

World Cup favorites according to the Opta analysis

The Opta analysis determines the World Cup favorites based on historical data and statistics. The company has carried out 100,000 simulations and thus arrives at a ranking.

# Country Opta
1 Brazil Brazil 16,3%
2 England England 8,8%
3 France France 12,0%
4 Spain Spain 8,9%
5 Argentina Argentina 13,1%
6 Germany Germany 7,7%
7 Belgium Belgium 5,8%
8 Portugal Portugal 5,4%
9 Netherlands Netherlands 6,6%
10 Denmark Denmark 3,2%
11 Croatia Croatia 1,8%
12 Uruguay Uruguay 1,6%
13 Switzerland Switzerland 1,1%
14 Senegal Senegal 1,1%
15 United States United States 0,7%
16 Poland Poland 0,7%
17 Serbia Serbia 1,0%
18 Mexico Mexico 0,8%
19 Ecuador Ecuador 0,5%
20 Canada Canada 0,4%
21 Cameroon Cameroon 0,2%
22 Japan Japan 0,2%
23 Morocco Morocco 0,3%
24 South Korea South Korea 0,2%
25 Saudi-Arabië Saudi-Arabië 0,0%
26 Ghana Ghana 0,1%
27 Qatar Qatar 0,3%
28 Wales Wales 0,6%
29 Tunisia Tunisia 0,2%
30 Iran Iran 0,1%
31 Australia Australia 0,1%
32 Costa Rica Costa Rica 0,0%

Brazil is the favorite to win the World Cup, according to Opta, with a 16.3% chance. Argentina and France also have more than 10% chance of the title. Spain and England are also in the top five with about 9%.

England has an 8.8% chance and is therefore in fifth place.

Date published: 11-11-2022 | Date updated: 17-05-2024 | Author:

Share 'Favorites World Cup 2022 - Who will win the World Cup?'

Share this message via social media with your family, friends and colleagues!

Who are the favorites for the 2022 World Cup? Who has the best chance of winning the World Cup in Qatar? Brazil is the big favorite according to the FIFA ranking, bookmakers and Opta analysis.


About the author of 'Favorites World Cup 2022 - Who will win the World Cup?'

Patrick (author and webmaster)

Author of this content is Patrick. I have been playing soccer for more than 25 years and follow the daily news closely. My hobbies include playing football, running and maintaining various websites, in addition to my job as a financial professional.

I do not work for any related company or institution, so the information is reliable and independent. The information has been collected accurately from reliable sources and is regularly updated.